Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Nielsen 53.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 87.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 54.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 56.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Grant
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Grant
Nielsen
Last 5: Grant 4-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Grant
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nielsen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
54.2% (906)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
63.2% (152)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
42.3% (156)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Grant is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Grant shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Grant
Nielsen
Home
50.9% (161)
55.3% (608)
Away
53.4% (223)
52.3% (606)
By Period
Grant
Nielsen
P1
53.4%
54.1%
P2
47.9%
52.6%
P3
56.0%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
65.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Derek Grant |