Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 56.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 72.4%
Neutral zone
Grant 57.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Grant
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Grant
Nielsen
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
4
Grant
Nielsen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Nielsen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
49.3% (7,608)
+4.4%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
54.7% (594)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
41.7% (1,420)
+4.3%
On power play, Grant has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Grant
Nielsen
Home
54.3% (1,956)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Grant
Nielsen
P1
51.1%
49.7%
P2
51.5%
47.6%
P3
54.3%
48.2%
OT
35.7%
46.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |