Derek Grant vs Frederick Gaudreau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 62.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 65.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 66.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Grant
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Grant
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Grant
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
48.4% (770)
+8.1%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
58.7% (46)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
50.3% (199)
-1.8%
On even strength, Grant has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Grant
Gaudreau
Home
60.3% (257)
51.1% (507)
Away
49.6% (236)
47.4% (508)
By Period
Grant
Gaudreau
P1
54.7%
49.4%
P2
54.0%
47.4%
P3
57.1%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |