Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Barbashev 46.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 62.6%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 55.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 57.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Grant
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Barbashev
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
Grant
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Barbashev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
46.5% (389)
+8.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
16.7% (6)
+45.8%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
41.3% (46)
+3.2%
On power play, Grant has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Grant shoots left. Barbashev is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Grant
Barbashev
Home
53.6% (222)
45.9% (233)
Away
51.9% (293)
45.2% (208)
By Period
Grant
Barbashev
P1
48.5%
46.5%
P2
54.3%
48.3%
P3
55.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |