Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 52.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 85.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 70.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Grant
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Grant
Barbashev
Last 10: Grant 8-2 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
2
Grant
Barbashev
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Barbashev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
5
4
Grant
Barbashev
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
42.0% (1,738)
+11.7%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
46.1% (89)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
36.7% (139)
+9.3%
On power play, Grant has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Home / Away
Grant
Barbashev
Home
54.3% (1,956)
42.4% (932)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Grant
Barbashev
P1
51.1%
40.7%
P2
51.5%
42.3%
P3
54.3%
42.3%
OT
35.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |