Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Barbashev 45.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 69.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 91.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 81.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Grant
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Grant
Barbashev
Last 5: Grant 4-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Barbashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Barbashev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Barbashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
46.8% (154)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
28.6% (35)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Grant shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Grant
Barbashev
Home
51.5% (266)
40.6% (101)
Away
50.7% (300)
46.6% (88)
By Period
Grant
Barbashev
P1
48.3%
43.3%
P2
52.2%
41.1%
P3
52.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.1%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |