Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.0%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Miller 54.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 68.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 76.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 68.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Grant
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Grant
Miller
Last 10: Grant 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
4
Grant
Miller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Grant
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
55.7% (589)
+0.8%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
60.9% (138)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
47.2% (159)
+1.3%
On power play, Grant has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Grant
Miller
Home
60.3% (257)
56.1% (440)
Away
49.6% (236)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Grant
Miller
P1
54.7%
52.3%
P2
54.0%
54.7%
P3
57.1%
57.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Derek Grant |