Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Eichel 45.8% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 89.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 82.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Grant
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Grant
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
45.5% (708)
+11.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
51.9% (54)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
29.0% (31)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Grant
Eichel
Home
60.3% (257)
46.1% (388)
Away
49.6% (236)
44.4% (405)
By Period
Grant
Eichel
P1
54.7%
46.8%
P2
54.0%
43.4%
P3
57.1%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Derek Grant |