Derek Grant vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Pageau 54.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 67.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Grant
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Grant
Pageau
Last 7: Grant 6-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
5
0
Grant
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Grant
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
55.4% (831)
-2.2%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
66.7% (12)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
51.4% (175)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Grant shoots left. Pageau is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Grant
Pageau
Home
50.9% (161)
58.4% (502)
Away
53.4% (223)
51.4% (516)
By Period
Grant
Pageau
P1
53.4%
57.3%
P2
47.9%
56.7%
P3
56.0%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |