Derek Grant vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Pageau 56.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 56.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 60.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 59.1%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Grant
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Grant
Pageau
Last 7: Grant 3-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Grant
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
58.8% (889)
-2.3%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
58.2% (182)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
48.6% (185)
-0.1%
On power play, Grant has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Grant
Pageau
Home
60.3% (257)
59.0% (595)
Away
49.6% (236)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Grant
Pageau
P1
54.7%
58.9%
P2
54.0%
57.9%
P3
57.1%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |