Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 83.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 70.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Grant
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
52.3% (560)
+4.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
57.5% (113)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
62.5% (16)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Grant
Pavelski
Home
60.3% (257)
54.2% (360)
Away
49.6% (236)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Grant
Pavelski
P1
54.7%
54.5%
P2
54.0%
56.7%
P3
57.1%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%