Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Tavares 54.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 63.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Grant
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Grant
Tavares
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
8
Grant
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Grant
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
54.0% (16,108)
-0.3%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
56.5% (4,283)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
50.6% (620)
-4.6%
On power play, Grant has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Grant
Tavares
Home
54.3% (1,956)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Grant
Tavares
P1
51.1%
55.0%
P2
51.5%
54.1%
P3
54.3%
54.1%
OT
35.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2017 | OT | 02:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Derek Grant |