Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 76.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Grant
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Grant
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
57.5% (914)
-1.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
60.5% (309)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
59.1% (22)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Grant
Tavares
Home
60.3% (257)
61.0% (661)
Away
49.6% (236)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Grant
Tavares
P1
54.7%
58.6%
P2
54.0%
57.8%
P3
57.1%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Derek Grant |