Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Toews 57.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 60.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 73.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 64.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Grant
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Grant
Toews
Last 8: Grant 3-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Grant
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Grant
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Grant
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
58.4% (1,115)
-5.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
61.3% (256)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
50.5% (182)
-0.5%
On power play, Toews has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Grant is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Grant shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Grant
Toews
Home
56.1% (344)
59.5% (783)
Away
49.0% (253)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Grant
Toews
P1
49.4%
58.4%
P2
56.1%
59.4%
P3
54.0%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |