Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Toews 58.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 74.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 57.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 51.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Grant
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Grant
Toews
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
4
Grant
Toews
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
58.0% (901)
-8.9%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
69.5% (226)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
51.7% (209)
-6.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Grant
Toews
Home
49.8% (223)
59.3% (637)
Away
47.2% (197)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Grant
Toews
P1
43.9%
61.5%
P2
49.7%
55.2%
P3
51.4%
60.0%
OT
50.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |