Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Couture 48.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 77.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 52.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 67.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Grant
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
18
(29 meetings)
11
18
Grant
Couture
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
11
Grant
Couture
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
3
Grant
Couture
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
5
4
Grant
Couture
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
48.8% (8,919)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
54.6% (624)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
39.8% (992)
+6.2%
On power play, Grant has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Grant
Couture
Home
54.3% (1,956)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Grant
Couture
P1
51.1%
47.9%
P2
51.5%
47.9%
P3
54.3%
49.2%
OT
35.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Logan Couture |