Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Couture 47.6% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 57.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 68.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 67.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Grant
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Grant
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Grant
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
49.2% (1,083)
+7.3%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
56.7% (60)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
35.4% (206)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Grant
Couture
Home
60.3% (257)
49.6% (713)
Away
49.6% (236)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Grant
Couture
P1
54.7%
47.2%
P2
54.0%
45.0%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Derek Grant |