Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hrivik on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hrivik shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Hrivik 45.7% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hrivik 89.4%
Defensive zone
Hrivik 59.4%
Neutral zone
Hrivik 80.1%
Result
Marek Hrivik favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Grant
Hrivik
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Grant
Hrivik
Last 7: Grant 1-6 Hrivik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hrivik
0
4
Grant
Hrivik
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Hrivik
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hrivik
0
1
Grant
Hrivik
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hrivik
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
41.2% (85)
+12.5%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
0.0% (1)
+61.7%
On power play, Grant has a +61.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hrivik shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Hrivik is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Grant
Hrivik
Home
54.3% (1,956)
51.7% (29)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
35.1% (57)
By Period
Grant
Hrivik
P1
51.1%
48.3%
P2
51.5%
35.3%
P3
54.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Hrivik
40.0%▬
40.7%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |