Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Stajan 49.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 58.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 66.4%
Neutral zone
Grant 66.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Grant
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Grant
Stajan
Last 8: Grant 6-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
50.2% (4,944)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
43.2% (176)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
46.1% (864)
-0.1%
On power play, Grant has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Grant
Stajan
Home
54.3% (1,956)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Grant
Stajan
P1
51.1%
50.3%
P2
51.5%
48.5%
P3
54.3%
49.4%
OT
35.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Derek Grant |