Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.4% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 94.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 74.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Grant
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Grant
Schmaltz
Last 8: Grant 6-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Grant
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (480)
41.7% (338)
+10.0%
Power Play
63.0% (54)
47.1% (34)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (160)
75.0% (4)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Grant is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Grant shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Grant
Schmaltz
Home
54.8% (334)
48.2% (166)
Away
48.6% (360)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Grant
Schmaltz
P1
54.7%
42.1%
P2
46.1%
45.8%
P3
54.2%
41.4%
OT
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |