Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 15 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 26-15 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 61.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 97.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 93.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Grant
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
15
(41 meetings)
26
15
Grant
Schmaltz
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
8
Grant
Schmaltz
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
15
0
Grant
Schmaltz
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Grant
Schmaltz
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
41.2% (3,399)
+12.5%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
47.1% (649)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
47.8% (134)
-1.8%
On power play, Grant has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Grant
Schmaltz
Home
54.3% (1,956)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Grant
Schmaltz
P1
51.1%
41.1%
P2
51.5%
42.9%
P3
54.3%
43.0%
OT
35.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |