Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.4% vs Backstrom 49.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 81.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 72.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 59.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Grant
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grant
Backstrom
Last 5: Grant 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Grant
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Grant
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (480)
50.0% (854)
+1.7%
Power Play
63.0% (54)
44.6% (148)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (160)
50.0% (46)
-2.5%
On power play, Grant has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Grant is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Grant shoots left. Backstrom is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Grant
Backstrom
Home
54.8% (334)
52.2% (506)
Away
48.6% (360)
46.5% (542)
By Period
Grant
Backstrom
P1
54.7%
45.3%
P2
46.1%
46.9%
P3
54.2%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |