Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 57.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 68.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Grant
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Grant
Backstrom
Last 6: Grant 5-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
51.4% (473)
+5.1%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
39.5% (38)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
33.3% (3)
+15.2%
On power play, Grant has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Grant
Backstrom
Home
60.3% (257)
53.6% (278)
Away
49.6% (236)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Grant
Backstrom
P1
54.7%
51.5%
P2
54.0%
56.0%
P3
57.1%
43.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Derek Grant |