Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Patrick 50.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 59.5%
Defensive zone
Patrick 59.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 60.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Grant
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Grant
Patrick
Last 7: Grant 2-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Grant
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
3
Grant
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Patrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
50.6% (719)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
50.0% (22)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Grant has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Grant is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Grant shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Grant
Patrick
Home
56.1% (344)
50.1% (391)
Away
49.0% (253)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Grant
Patrick
P1
49.4%
54.4%
P2
56.1%
49.3%
P3
54.0%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |