Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 72.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 91.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 78.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Grant
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Grant
Bergeron
Last 7: Grant 1-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Grant
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Grant
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Grant
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
56.2% (940)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
61.6% (284)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
50.3% (165)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Grant shoots left. Bergeron is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Grant
Bergeron
Home
53.6% (222)
57.7% (712)
Away
51.9% (293)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Grant
Bergeron
P1
48.5%
55.0%
P2
54.3%
57.1%
P3
55.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |