Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 76.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 78.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 63.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Grant
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Grant
Bergeron
Last 7: Grant 3-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Grant
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
2
Grant
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Grant
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
63.8% (1,102)
-14.7%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
65.3% (288)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
47.6% (210)
-2.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Grant
Bergeron
Home
49.8% (223)
62.5% (882)
Away
47.2% (197)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Grant
Bergeron
P1
43.9%
62.5%
P2
49.7%
62.7%
P3
51.4%
60.6%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |