Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Berglund 48.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 77.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 69.0%
Neutral zone
Berglund 52.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Grant
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Grant
Berglund
Last 9: Grant 3-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
4
Grant
Berglund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Grant
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
49.0% (4,697)
+4.7%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
51.3% (548)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
43.2% (461)
+2.8%
On power play, Grant has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Home / Away
Grant
Berglund
Home
54.3% (1,956)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Grant
Berglund
P1
51.1%
49.3%
P2
51.5%
48.2%
P3
54.3%
49.0%
OT
35.7%
39.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |