Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Nash 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 58.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 54.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Grant
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Grant
Nash
Last 6: Grant 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Grant
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Grant
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
50.9% (481)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
27.3% (11)
+34.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
40.0% (70)
+6.0%
On power play, Grant has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Grant shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Grant
Nash
Home
50.9% (161)
46.5% (282)
Away
53.4% (223)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Grant
Nash
P1
53.4%
48.5%
P2
47.9%
47.3%
P3
56.0%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Riley Nash |