Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Nash 48.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 66.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 74.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 50.1%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Grant
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Grant
Nash
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
4
Grant
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
48.7% (4,621)
+5.0%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
51.0% (249)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.9% (550)
+1.1%
On power play, Grant has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Grant
Nash
Home
54.3% (1,956)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Grant
Nash
P1
51.1%
49.0%
P2
51.5%
47.9%
P3
54.3%
48.0%
OT
35.7%
68.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Riley Nash |