Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 74.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 59.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Grant
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Monahan
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Grant
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
51.5% (641)
-2.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
62.8% (129)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
33.3% (9)
+12.0%
On power play, Grant has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Grant
Monahan
Home
49.8% (223)
53.9% (362)
Away
47.2% (197)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Grant
Monahan
P1
43.9%
48.0%
P2
49.7%
57.0%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |