Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Oshie 46.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 95.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 77.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 66.0%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Grant
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Grant
Oshie
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
6
Grant
Oshie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
0
Grant
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Grant
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
45.2% (764)
+8.5%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
47.7% (1,221)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
40.2% (164)
+5.8%
On power play, Grant has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Grant
Oshie
Home
54.3% (1,956)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Grant
Oshie
P1
51.1%
47.3%
P2
51.5%
45.2%
P3
54.3%
46.7%
OT
35.7%
40.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |