Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Oshie 47.5% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 85.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 90.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 65.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Grant
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Grant
Oshie
Last 5: Grant 3-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Grant
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
48.3% (29)
+8.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
46.3% (149)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
0.0% (2)
+48.5%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Grant
Oshie
Home
60.3% (257)
55.9% (93)
Away
49.6% (236)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Grant
Oshie
P1
54.7%
50.9%
P2
54.0%
42.9%
P3
57.1%
43.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derek Grant |