Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.6% vs Kero 47.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 67.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 60.6%
Neutral zone
Kero 51.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Grant
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Grant
Kero
Last 6: Grant 3-3 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Kero
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Grant
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (99)
44.5% (119)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Grant has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Grant is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Grant shoots left. Kero is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Grant
Kero
Home
59.5% (37)
43.8% (48)
Away
52.7% (74)
45.3% (75)
By Period
Grant
Kero
P1
56.7%
45.8%
P2
54.1%
48.8%
P3
54.5%
38.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.0%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |