Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Kero 46.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 74.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kero 54.8%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Grant
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Grant
Kero
Last 8: Grant 3-5 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Grant
Kero
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Kero
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Grant
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
47.0% (668)
+6.7%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
42.9% (7)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
31.9% (47)
+14.1%
On power play, Grant has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Grant
Kero
Home
54.3% (1,956)
49.1% (332)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Grant
Kero
P1
51.1%
47.6%
P2
51.5%
48.8%
P3
54.3%
40.9%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |