Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Rask 50.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 67.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 79.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 67.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Grant
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Grant
Rask
Last 6: Grant 2-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Grant
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Grant
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
50.6% (172)
-1.5%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
50.0% (4)
+26.5%
On power play, Grant has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Grant
Rask
Home
49.8% (223)
53.7% (82)
Away
47.2% (197)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Grant
Rask
P1
43.9%
56.0%
P2
49.7%
47.5%
P3
51.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |