Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 64.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Grant
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Grant
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Grant
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
51.4% (735)
-2.3%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
63.5% (115)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
42.9% (133)
+2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Grant
Karlsson
Home
49.8% (223)
52.3% (524)
Away
47.2% (197)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Grant
Karlsson
P1
43.9%
50.7%
P2
49.7%
51.4%
P3
51.4%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Derek Grant |