Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs MacKenzie 54.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Lowry
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
MacKenzie
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
4
Lowry
MacKenzie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
55.8% (523)
-9.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
52.4% (21)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
52.9% (257)
-8.1%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Lowry
MacKenzie
Home
49.9% (393)
54.4% (463)
Away
43.1% (452)
55.3% (338)
By Period
Lowry
MacKenzie
P1
45.1%
54.2%
P2
44.8%
54.0%
P3
49.1%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |