Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs MacKenzie 50.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 61.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 50.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Smith
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Smith
MacKenzie
Last 6: Smith 5-1 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
52.5% (564)
+2.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
41.7% (199)
+2.8%
On power play, Smith has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Smith
MacKenzie
Home
54.0% (274)
52.7% (404)
Away
47.9% (194)
47.0% (368)
By Period
Smith
MacKenzie
P1
51.7%
50.0%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
51.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
59.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ben Smith |