Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.4% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 83.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 59.4%
Neutral zone
Boyle 61.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Boyle
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Boyle
MacKenzie
Last 8: Boyle 1-7 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Boyle
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
5
Boyle
MacKenzie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (667)
55.7% (438)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.6% (124)
80.0% (5)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (41)
41.4% (162)
+12.3%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Boyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Boyle shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Boyle
MacKenzie
Home
52.9% (391)
51.3% (312)
Away
48.3% (441)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Boyle
MacKenzie
P1
48.9%
50.5%
P2
50.6%
48.8%
P3
51.2%
57.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.5%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |