Derek MacKenzie vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.7%). Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Larkin 52.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 70.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 52.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
MacKenzie
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
MacKenzie
Larkin
Last 10: MacKenzie 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
3
MacKenzie
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
1
MacKenzie
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
51.7% (9,019)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
58.5% (2,125)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
50.2% (1,122)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Larkin
Home
54.0% (2,527)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
MacKenzie
Larkin
P1
51.9%
52.7%
P2
53.0%
53.1%
P3
54.0%
52.1%
OT
65.7%
58.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |