Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.0%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs McKegg 50.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 57.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 73.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 56.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
MacKenzie
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKenzie
McKegg
Last 5: MacKenzie 3-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
McKegg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
McKegg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
49.1% (171)
+3.4%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
100.0% (3)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
50.0% (6)
-8.3%
On power play, McKegg has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. McKegg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
McKegg
Home
52.7% (404)
50.7% (75)
Away
47.0% (368)
49.5% (105)
By Period
MacKenzie
McKegg
P1
50.0%
45.9%
P2
50.0%
53.3%
P3
49.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |