Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Dowell 49.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 83.2%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 68.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 77.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
MacKenzie
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
MacKenzie
Dowell
Last 10: MacKenzie 8-2 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Dowell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Dowell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
1
MacKenzie
Dowell
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
49.9% (573)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
33.3% (12)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
43.8% (64)
+8.7%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
MacKenzie shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Dowell
Home
51.7% (232)
52.5% (303)
Away
52.3% (241)
45.8% (349)
By Period
MacKenzie
Dowell
P1
47.9%
49.5%
P2
51.8%
47.0%
P3
55.4%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |