Derek MacKenzie vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Pageau 52.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 71.2%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 58.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
MacKenzie
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
MacKenzie
Pageau
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
MacKenzie
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
1
MacKenzie
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
54.1% (882)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
45.0% (60)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
46.8% (235)
+6.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Pageau
Home
54.4% (463)
54.7% (592)
Away
55.3% (338)
49.6% (585)
By Period
MacKenzie
Pageau
P1
54.2%
51.0%
P2
54.0%
54.3%
P3
56.7%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |