Derek MacKenzie vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 51.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 60.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
MacKenzie
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
MacKenzie
Pageau
Last 10: MacKenzie 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
MacKenzie
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
4
MacKenzie
Pageau
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
7
3
MacKenzie
Pageau
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
55.7% (9,486)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
57.0% (1,002)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
49.6% (2,069)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Pageau
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
MacKenzie
Pageau
P1
51.9%
54.6%
P2
53.0%
56.3%
P3
54.0%
53.5%
OT
65.7%
54.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |