Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.2%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Carter 53.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 64.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 69.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 53.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
MacKenzie
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
MacKenzie
Carter
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
8
MacKenzie
Carter
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
7
2
MacKenzie
Carter
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
MacKenzie
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
53.3% (8,728)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
57.3% (1,554)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
46.3% (1,087)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Carter
Home
54.0% (2,527)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
MacKenzie
Carter
P1
51.9%
53.6%
P2
53.0%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
53.1%
OT
65.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |