Derek MacKenzie vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 75.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 53.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
MacKenzie
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
MacKenzie
Pavelski
Last 10: MacKenzie 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
6
MacKenzie
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
10
4
MacKenzie
Pavelski
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
MacKenzie
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
53.6% (8,791)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
58.2% (2,122)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
50.9% (1,138)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Pavelski
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
MacKenzie
Pavelski
P1
51.9%
53.5%
P2
53.0%
55.2%
P3
54.0%
53.9%
OT
65.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 20, 2014 | OT | 04:00 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |