Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Vitale 54.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 53.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 60.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 55.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
MacKenzie
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
MacKenzie
Vitale
Last 10: MacKenzie 1-9 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
4
MacKenzie
Vitale
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
3
MacKenzie
Vitale
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
2
MacKenzie
Vitale
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
55.9% (1,771)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
76.0% (25)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
47.1% (297)
-0.4%
On power play, Vitale has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Vitale
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
MacKenzie
Vitale
P1
51.9%
52.9%
P2
53.0%
53.8%
P3
54.0%
57.5%
OT
65.7%
72.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |