Derek MacKenzie vs John McCarthy
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — McCarthy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs McCarthy 48.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarthy 56.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 86.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 77.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
MacKenzie
McCarthy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
MacKenzie
McCarthy
Last 8: MacKenzie 5-3 McCarthy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
McCarthy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
2
MacKenzie
McCarthy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
McCarthy
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
49.0% (198)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
33.3% (6)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
33.3% (9)
+13.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarthy shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. McCarthy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
McCarthy
Home
54.0% (2,527)
51.7% (116)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
43.3% (97)
By Period
MacKenzie
McCarthy
P1
51.9%
41.1%
P2
53.0%
58.9%
P3
54.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
McCarthy
60.0%▲
48.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | John McCarthy |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | John McCarthy |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | John McCarthy |