Derek MacKenzie vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 21 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Tavares 54.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 24-16 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 75.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
MacKenzie
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
16
(40 meetings)
24
16
MacKenzie
Tavares
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
12
MacKenzie
Tavares
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
20
1
MacKenzie
Tavares
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
MacKenzie
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
54.0% (16,108)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
56.5% (4,283)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
50.6% (620)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Tavares
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
MacKenzie
Tavares
P1
51.9%
55.0%
P2
53.0%
54.1%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
65.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |