Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Green shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Green 47.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 66.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 92.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 83.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
MacKenzie
Green
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKenzie
Green
Last 7: MacKenzie 5-2 Green
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Green
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
2
MacKenzie
Green
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Green
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
42.1% (38)
+12.8%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
100.0% (2)
-44.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
33.3% (3)
+13.4%
On power play, Green has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Green shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Green is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Green
Home
54.0% (2,527)
62.5% (8)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
38.9% (36)
By Period
MacKenzie
Green
P1
51.9%
58.3%
P2
53.0%
40.0%
P3
54.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Green
43.2%▬
43.2%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Josh Green |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Josh Green |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |